2018 Big Ten Tournament Middleweight Preview
2018 Big Ten Tournament Middleweight Preview
Previews and predictions for all four middleweights at the 2018 Big Ten tournament.
The top wrestlers in the nation's strongest conference are set to battle for titles and NCAA bids at the 2018 Big Ten Championships in East Lansing, Michigan, this weekend.
The first session of the two-day tournament starts at 10 AM ET on Saturday, March 3. The pre-seeds can be found here.
We are running previews for every weight class, and today we're covering the four middleweights at 149lb, 157lb, 165lb, and 174lb. Tuesday's lightweight preview is available here.
For each weight, we show the automatic qualifier allocations available for the NCAA tournament, as well as the pre-seeds. We finish each weight with predictions for the top four finishers.
WATCH THE BIG TEN TOURNAMENT LIVE | SATURDAY, 10 AM EASTERN
149 Pounds: 9 Allocations
- Zain Retherford, Penn State
- Brandon Sorensen, Iowa
- Ryan Deakin, Northwestern
- Colton McCrystal, Nebraska
- Ke-Shawn Hayes, Ohio State
- Eleazar DeLuca, Rutgers
- Alfred Bannister, Maryland
- Malik Amine, Michigan
- Steve Bleise, Minnesota
- Cole Martin, Wisconsin
- Austin Nash, Purdue
- Eric Barone, Illinois
- Jwan Britton, Michigan State
- AJ Raya, Indiana
I was pretty surprised that the Big Ten wound up with nine allocations at this weight, which also means it seeds every wrestler. That is of course contingent upon Steve Bleise of Minnesota being in the field, who hasn’t wrestled since January 21.
I also think the conference got the five and six seeds wrong, as Ke-Shawn Hayes has no wins over anyone in the top four and lost to Eleazar DeLuca, who did not lose to anyone seeded below him. If you’re Ohio State, you’d actually want Hayes to be the six, as that gets him away from Zain Retherford and sets up a rematch with Brandon Sorensen if Hayes can upset Ryan Deakin in the quarters. Hayes only lost 4-2 to Sorensen and actually scored the first takedown in that match.
The seeds for the Big Ten tournament have matched the pre-seeds every year since 2015, so if they hold, Hayes and McCrystal will match up for the first time this season in the quarterfinals, a key match for the Buckeyes’ hopes of a team title this weekend.
Aside from the intrigue with Hayes, the most interesting matchup of Saturday will be the two vs. three semifinal of Ryan Deakin vs. Sorensen, which Sorensen won on a controversial headgear pull in overtime during the Hawkeyes' dual with Northwestern. I like Sorensen once again in the rematch, and for Hayes to get by everyone else to face Deakin for third.
Nomad’s Picks
1) Zain Retherford 2) Brandon Sorensen 3) Ryan Deakin 4) Ke-Shawn Hayes
WATCH THE BIG TEN TOURNAMENT LIVE | SATURDAY, 10 AM EASTERN
157 Pounds: 8 Allocations
- Michael Kemerer, Iowa, Jason Nolf, Penn State
- Alec Pantaleo, Michigan
- Micah Jordan, Ohio State
- Tyler Berger, Nebraska
- Andrew Crone, Wisconsin
- Jake Short, Minnesota
- John Van Brill, Rutgers
There is no bigger question heading into conference weekend than the health of Jason Nolf. Will he wrestle? If he does, is he at 100 percent? Will he go the Nick Suriano route from last year and medical forfeit out of the tournament? If he does, can Penn State still win anyway? So many questions and all justified, as he is the most fascinating wrestler of this season.
The other big question, will he or Michael Kemerer get the one seed? They are currently tied for the top pre-seed. This is of course only an issue because Nolf’s loss “doesn’t count” in the mind of most folks since it was an injury default. This matters a great deal to the likes of Micah Jordan, who could get a few extra points for Ohio State with a finals appearance.
I’m very curious to see how Andrew Crone fares this weekend. This guy went on a tear, winning 10 matches in a row against Big Ten foes before falling twice at the end the season. There’s a very real possibility he makes the finals but also could go 0-2. Who knows?
The way I see it, Nolf defaults out, Kemerer wins his first Big Ten title, and we see the good version of Alec Pantaleo. Beyond that, it'll be Jordan vs. Crone for third.
Nomad’s Picks
1) Michael Kemerer 2) Alec Pantaleo 3) Micah Jordan 4) Andrew Crone
WATCH THE BIG TEN TOURNAMENT LIVE | SATURDAY, 10 AM EASTERN
165 Pounds: 10 Allocations
- Isaiah Martinez, Illinois
- Alex Marinelli, Iowa
- Vincenzo Joseph, Penn State
- Richie Lewis, Rutgers
- Evan Wick, Wisconsin
- Nick Wanzek, Minnesota
- Logan Massa, Michigan
- Isaiah White, Nebraska
- Te’Shan Campbell, Ohio State
- Jacob Morrissey, Purdue
- Bryce Martin, Indiana
- Austin Hiles, Michigan State
- Brendan Burnham, Maryland
- Mike Sepke, Northwestern
The deepest weight in the country this year is 165 in the Big Ten, as evidenced by seventh-seeded Logan Massa of Michigan, who last year was the two seed going into NCAAs and finished third. Massa's seeding means he has a quarterfinal against the two seed, who at this time appears to be Alex Marinelli.
We did a very long debate on FRL and I also did an article about who should be the top seed at 165, Marinelli or Isaiah Martinez. It appears the coaches went with Martinez based on his win over Marinelli from last year at Midlands. Which means, if Marinelli gets by Massa again, as he did in a 3-2 win on January 27, we’ll see a rematch of Marinelli and defending NCAA champ Vincenzo Joseph.
A couple other interesting rematches include Isaiah White vs. Te’Shan Campbell, as they split at CKLV, and Richie Lewis vs. Evan Wick, with Lewis riding Wick out for the entire third period to win when Wisconsin dueled Rutgers. That pushed Lewis up to fourth in the conference rankings.
Last year, Martinez beat Joseph twice before the NCAA finals. He also majored Marinelli, and majored Evan Wick this season. I think that's the IMar we see once again, the one who goes into his final NCAAs as the favorite and hitting on all cylinders. This weekend, the Illinois senior accomplishes a historic feat and wins his fourth Big Ten title.
Nomad’s Picks
1) Isaiah Martinez 2) Vincenzo Joseph 3) Evan Wick 4) Alex Marinelli
WATCH THE BIG TEN TOURNAMENT LIVE | SATURDAY, 10 AM EASTERN
174 Pounds: 7 Allocations
- Mark Hall, Penn State
- Bo Jordan, Ohio State
- Myles Amine, Michigan
- Dylan Lydy, Purdue
- Johnny Sebastian, Northwestern
- Devin Skatzka, Indiana
- Joey Gunther, Iowa
- Ryan Christensen, Wisconsin
This weight lacks a ton of intrigue. Joey Gunther won the wrestle-off over Kaleb Young and will be the seven seed, which is the last seed that would earn an allocation if the results went chalk. It's one spot off where we have him in our conference rankings.
Saturday's big match will be the semifinal between Myles Amine and Bo Jordan, who have had two excellent matches so far this season. Jordan took the first match 6-4 at CKLV, and then Amine returned the favor with a last second takedown in the dual meet.
One of the interesting quarterfinals is Dylan Lydy vs. Johnny Sebastian. Their previous matchups have slowly gone Lydy's way, as Sebastian majored him last year, then got a late pin to start this year at the Michigan State Open. But a couple weeks ago in the dual, Lydy won 2-1 in overtime to snag the fourth seed.
I think Marky winds up with his first Big Ten title and doesn't suffer the same fate as last year. I have a hard time seeing Jordan losing to Amine twice in a row, but it might be the best match of the tournament at this weight.
Nomad's Picks
1) Mark Hall 2) Bo Jordan 3) Myles Amine 4) Johnny Sebastian